Match Info

Date: 14 January 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Montijo		Praiense

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.95	1.87
	4.1	2.95	1.85
	4.1	3.45	1.74
	4.59	3.39	1.88
	4.05	3.38	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (6.1)	3.22 ↓ (3.66)	1.84 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
21.6%

Draw
28.5%

Praiense
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15%

25%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

17.4%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montijo's performance.

Praiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Praiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montijo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Praiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Montijo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Praiense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montijo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Montijo have a series of home games.

Recently Praiense have a series of guest games.

In this match Praiense is a favorite.

Recent matches Praiense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olímpico do Montijo
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.21	Montijo - Oriental	0:3 ✺
30.12.20	Montijo - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Montijo - Oriental Dragon	0:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.20	Coria - Montijo	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.12.20	Montijo - Braga	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.01.21	Belenenses B - Praiense	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	2:0 ✺
20.12.20	Fontinhas - Praiense	2:1 ✺
10.12.20	Estrela da Amadora - Praiense	2:1 ✺
07.12.20	Oriental - Praiense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.11.20	Praiense - Montijo	2:2
20.04.19	Praiense - Montijo	3:1
09.12.18	Montijo - Praiense	0:2

Montijo - Praiense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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