Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Montlouis		Lorient II

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.44	3.54
	1.88	3.63	3.52	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.95	3.7	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.33)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)	3.49 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montlouis
47.5%

Draw
26.2%

Lorient II
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montlouis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montlouis's performance.

Lorient II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montlouis than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montlouis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient II than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montlouis - Lorient II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Montlouis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lorient II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montlouis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montlouis	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montlouis
French National 1 - Group A
07.03.26	St Colomban-Locminé - Montlouis	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Montlouis - Chauray	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	La Roche VF - Montlouis	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Montlouis - Stade Poitevin	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Angoulême - Montlouis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTLWW
- FC Lorient II
French National 1 - Group A
07.03.26	Lorient II - Dinan-Léhon	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	St Colomban-Locminé - Lorient II	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lorient II - Granville	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lorient II - Chauray	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	La Roche VF - Lorient II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
04.10.25	Lorient II - Montlouis	2:1

Montlouis - Lorient II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide