The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montpellier 44.6%
Draw 26.6%
Le Havre 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.1%
25.6%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.
Montpellier - Le Havre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Durand S. (G) 42. Drame M. 12. Gillard G. 4. Torrent M. (C) 21. Haering S. 6. Palis E. 11. Rouquet J. 10. Binate Soumahoro A. 18. Jelencic A. 20. Fontaine A. 9. Chabod C.
16. Petiteau M. (G) 15. Boucly M. 25. Le Guilly E. 28. Boisard C. 14. Johnson K. 27. Lefevre E. 6. Champagnac S. (C) 10. Coquet J. 95. Traore N. 11. Mendy M. 7. Stievenart Z.
Substitutes
29. Bourgouin L. 22. Gstalter L. 41. Humbert A. 8. Kharafi B. 17. Oleszkiewicz N. 14. Rambaud E. 13. Revelli M. 7. Skurcenski M. 1. Yilmaz C. (G)
9. Adjabi I. 30. Beitz T. (G) 34. Cincinat J. 12. Dore M. 40. Dorla G. (G) 18. Gallais T. 23. Nassi J. 33. N'diaye S. 22. Seika T.
Coaches
Lair P.
Di Liberto M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Binate Soumahoro A. 🟨,
9', Haering S. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Rouquet J. ⚽, Palis E. (A),
36', Champagnac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Haering S. ↓, Revelli M. ↑,
59', Chabod C. ↓, Oleszkiewicz N. ↑,
61', Traore N. ↓, Nassi J. ↑,
61', Johnson K. ↓, Seika T. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Champagnac S. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Binate Soumahoro A. ↓, Kharafi B. ↑,
73', Drame M. ↓, Gstalter L. ↑,
73', Palis E. ↓, Bourgouin L. ↑,
79', Mendy M. ↓, Adjabi I. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1.
Le Havre is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montpellier holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:17 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montpellier against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1.7 per game).