Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi (Monza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Primavera TV


	Monza U20		Parma U20

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.5	1.72
	4.16	3.86	1.77
	4.06	3.86	1.77	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.73
	4.13	3.64	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.5)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	1.72 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza U20
22.2%

Draw
24.8%

Parma U20
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.9%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Parma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza U20 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma U20 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parma U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Monza U20 - Parma U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vailati A. (G) 11. Attinasi M. 8. Buonaiuto M. 22. Castelli D. 5. Colonnese L. . Drobnic M. 90. Fogliaro C. 13. Martone G. 10. Reita F. 6. Romanini A. 4. Villa M.	96. Mazzocchi A. (G) 21. Balduzzi D. 70. Conde B. 15. D'Intino R. 25. Diop D. 17. Drobnic D. 47. Konate A. 63. Mena M. 7. Nwajei M. 90. Semedo A. 10. Vranici D.
Substitutes
33. Albe S. 3. Azarovs T. 2. Bagnaschi A. . Ballabio A. (G) 24. Ballabio N. 39. De Bonis A. 17. Fardin G. 77. Ganci D. 52. Mout M. 95. Porta M. 7. Scaramelli E.	1. Astaldi G. (G) 12. Castaldo A. 77. Chimezie G. 28. Gemello A. . Marchesi L. 80. Mengoni F. 13. Pajsar K. 14. Plicco E. 82. Sartori F. 8. Tigani E. 27. Varali L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Parma U20 is Qualified for Primavera 1 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Monza U20 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Parma U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Parma U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Parma U20	5	3	2	0	11:5	6	11
15	Monza U20	5	1	1	3	8:10	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza U20
Italian Primavera 1
09.05.26	Atalanta U20 - Monza U20	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Monza U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Monza U20	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Monza U20 - Frosinone U20	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Monza U20 - Bologna U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Parma U20
Italian Primavera 1
09.05.26	Parma U20 - Milan U20	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lazio U20 - Parma U20	3:4 ✺
20.04.26	Atalanta U20 - Parma U20	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Parma U20 - Juventus U20	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
08.04.26	Juventus U20 - Parma U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
12.12.25	Parma U20 - Monza U20	2:1

Monza U20 - Parma U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide