Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Woking

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.6
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.4	3.45	2.68
	2.56	3.53	2.66
	2.61	3.24	2.61	Watch
	2.4	3.46	2.6
	2.1	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	2.71 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
38.6%

Draw
27.4%

Woking
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Woking's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Woking, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morecambe - Woking Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 4. Agyemang T. 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 7. Edwards G. 17. Lewis P. 21. Nuttall J. 14. Sesay A. 24. Songo'o Y. 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.	31. Norcott T. (G) 16. Akinola O. 23. Akinola T. 6. Andrews J. 7. Beautyman H. (C) 2. Drewe A. 14. Hinds T. 10. O'Brien A. 5. Odusina T. 3. Richards C. 18. Turner J.
Substitutes
19. Campbell M. 3. Conte R. 6. Francillette L. . Muskwe A. 23. Ogwuru D. 20. Sangare M. 25. Scales A. (G)	20. Ashford S. 8. Forster-Caskey J. 4. Okoli C. 12. Osude J. 13. Ross C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Agyemang T. 🟨,
38', Turner J. 🟨,
41', Drewe A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Andrews J. ⚽,
66', Lewis P. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
66', Nuttall J. ↓, Campbell M. ↑,
67', Tollitt B. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
78', Akinola T. ↓, Ashford S. ↑,
79', Beautyman H. ↓, Forster-Caskey J. ↑,
79', Cain J. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
85', Campbell M. 🟨,
88', Edwards G. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
90+2', O'Brien A. ↓, Osude J. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Ashford S. ⚽,

Preview

Morecambe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Woking is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Morecambe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Morecambe has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Morecambe - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Fylde - Morecambe	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Marine - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
15.07.25	Hyde United - Morecambe	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTW
- Woking
English National League
25.08.25	Woking - York City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hartlepool United - Woking	3:0 ✺
19.08.25	Woking - Wealdstone	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Scunthorpe United - Woking	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Woking - West Ham United U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL

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