Match Info

Victoria Premier League 2 - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Moreland City		Kingston City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.80	2.20
	2.16	3.55	2.70
	2.39	4.22	2.19
	2.25	4.3	2.44
	2.35	4.15	2.16
	2.22	4.02	2.63
	2.30	3.85	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.98)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	2.38 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
39.3%

Draw
22.7%

Kingston City
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreland City's form might have worsened.

Kingston City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kingston City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreland City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kingston City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moreland City - Kingston City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 4)
53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, ⚽,
80', 2 - 5, ⚽,
84', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Moreland City is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kingston City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moreland City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Moreland City has had a series of away games.

Moreland City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moreland City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Moreland City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League 2
01.08.26	Bayside Argonauts - Moreland City	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Malvern City - Moreland City	5:0 ✺
11.07.26	Moreland City - Springvale White Eagles	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Goulburn Valley Suns - Moreland City	5:2 ✺
26.06.26	Keilor Park - Moreland City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kingston City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League 2
31.07.26	Kingston City - Springvale White Eagles	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Essendon Royals - Kingston City	4:2 ✺
10.07.26	Whittlesea United - Kingston City	1:1 ✺
03.07.26	Kingston City - Nunawading City	4:0 ✺
19.06.26	Box Hill United - Kingston City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League 2
12.06.26	Kingston City - Moreland City	2:1
Australian Victoria Premier League
04.08.25	Kingston City - Moreland City	5:0
25.04.25	Moreland City - Kingston City	2:1

Moreland City - Kingston City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide