Match Info

FIFA Arab Cup - Round 3

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Lusail Iconic Stadium (Lusail)

Referee: Escobar M. (Gtm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, MBC 1, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Canada	beIN Connect
Egypt	MBC Masr 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Kuwait	KTV Sport, Shasha
Oman	AYN, Oman TV Sport
Qatar	Shoof
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
United-arab-emirates	MBC 5
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Morocco		Saudi Arabia

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.92	4.45
	1.9	3.1	5.47
	1.85	3.14	4.78	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.87	3.04	4.8
	1.8	3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.85)	3.03 ↓ (3.23)	4.75 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morocco
50%

Draw
30.5%

Saudi Arabia
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

27.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Saudi Arabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saudi Arabia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Morocco - Saudi Arabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Morocco will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Saudi Arabia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Morocco: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Morocco (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Benabid E. M. (G) Wydad Athletic 18. Saadane M. Al Fateh 19. El Moussaoui H. Berkane 4. Bouftini S. Al Wasl 7. Boulacsout M. Raja Casablanca 3. Bach A. FAR Rabat 6. Hrimat M. (C) FAR Rabat 13. El Karti W. Pyramids 10. Zouhzouh A. Al Wakra 21. El Berkaoui K. Al Dhafra 20. Tissoudali T. Khorfakkan	21. Al Sanbi A. (G) Al Ahli SC 2. Majrashi A. Al Ahli SC 13. Boushal N. Al Nassr 4. Al Amri A. Al Nassr 14. Al Ahmad W. Al Taawon 17. Sulaiman M. Al Ahli SC 20. Al Oboud A. Al Ittihad 7. Al Juwayr M. Al Qadsiah 16. Al Hawsawi M. Al Khaleej 18. Abu Al Shamat S. Al Ahli SC 11. Al Shehri S. (C) Al Ittihad
Substitutes
11. Azarou W. Ajman 5. Bentayg M. Zamalek 8. Bougrine S. Raja Casablanca 1. Chihab S. (G) Maghreb Fez 17. Chouiar M. Berkane 16. El Mahdioui A. Al Taawon 22. Ghanimi R. (G) FUS Rabat 15. Louadni M. FAR Rabat 2. Moufid M. Wydad Athletic 14. Tannane O. Umm-Salal	12. Abu Al Shamat M. Al Qadsiah 1. Al Aqidi N. (G) Al Nassr 9. Al Buraikan F. Al Ahli SC 6. Al Dawsari N. Al Hilal 10. Al Dawsari S. Al Hilal 19. Al Hamdan A. Al Hilal 15. Al Khaibari A. Al Nassr 22. Al Najjar R. (G) Al Nassr 23. Kanno M. Al Hilal 5. Tambakti H. Al Hilal 8. Yahya A. Al Nassr
Coaches
Sektioui T.	Renard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, El Berkaoui K. ⚽, Tissoudali T. (A),
35', Hrimat M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Majrashi A. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
61', Al Ahmad W. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
61', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
61', Abu Al Shamat S. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
69', Al Hamdan A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Zouhzouh A. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
71', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Moufid M. ↑,
80', Al Oboud A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
86', El Karti W. ↓, El Mahdioui A. ↑,
90+2', Tissoudali T. ↓, Louadni M. ↑,

Preview

Saudi Arabia is Qualified for FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs )

Morocco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Saudi Arabia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Morocco is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Morocco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morocco
FIFA Arab Cup
05.12.25	Oman - Morocco	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Morocco - Comoros	3:1 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Morocco - Uganda	4:0 ✺
14.11.25	Morocco - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Morocco - Congo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWWW
- Saudi Arabia
FIFA Arab Cup
05.12.25	Comoros - Saudi Arabia	1:3 ✺
02.12.25	Saudi Arabia - Oman	2:1 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Saudi Arabia - Algeria	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Saudi Arabia - Ivory Coast	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Saudi Arabia - Iraq	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Arab Cup
07.12.21	Morocco - Saudi Arabia	1:0

Morocco - Saudi Arabia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide