Match Info

World Cup U20 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	SporTV
Canada	RDS 2, TSN 5
Costa-rica	TD +
El-salvador	Canal 4, Tigo Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Guatemala	TeleOnce, Tigo Sports
Honduras	Telecadena 7 y 4
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	J sports 2
Mexico	TUDN
Morocco	Arryadia TNT
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Panama	RPC, Tigo Sports
Peru	ATV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	DGO Latin America
Suriname	SCCN
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
Venezuela	DSports 1
World	FIFA+


	Morocco U20		France U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.8
				Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.78
	2.5	3.2	2.83
	3.13	3.27	2.31	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.21)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	2.73 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morocco U20
36%

Draw
29.2%

France U20
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

26.9%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morocco U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco U20's performance.

France U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and France U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco U20 than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morocco U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France U20 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that France U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	38.9%	38.9%

Morocco U20 - France U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Morocco U20 will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). France U20 will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Morocco U20 (votes: 1 - 7.7%). France U20 (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Morocco U20 (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - France U20 (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - France U20 (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - France U20 (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - France U20 (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Morocco U20 (votes: 3 - 15%). France U20 (votes: 12 - 60%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benchaouch Y. (G) Monaco 13. Majni T. Union Touarga 4. Baouf I. Cambuur 19. Bakhty S. Sturm 15. Zahouani F. Union Touarga 6. Byar N. Foggia 18. Khalifi Y. Charleroi 7. Maamma O. Watford 8. Essadak H. (C) Union Touarga 17. Yassine G. Dunkerque 21. Zabiri Y. Famalicao	1. Olmeta L. (G) Bastia 2. Beyuku G. Modena 14. Kamara N. PSG 5. Zidane E. Betis 3. Bourgault J. Brest 19. Sylla F. Lens 10. Benama M. (C) Annecy 17. Le Borgne A. Como 6. Toure I. Monaco 7. Michal L. Monaco 12. Bermont A. Lens
Substitutes
11. Boumassaoudi I. Den Bosch 9. El Bahraoui Y. Kawkab Marrakech 10. El Haddad S. Venezia 12. Gomis I. (G) 14. Hamony M. Girona 2. Ilyass M. USM Oujda 20. Kebdani M. FAR Rabat 16. Mesbahi H. (G) FAR Rabat 5. Tajaouart A. Anderlecht	4. Baseya S. Alverca 21. Bengui J. (G) RWDM Brussels 18. Bernardeau G. Nice 13. Dabo M. Nantes 11. Mmadi T. Marseille 20. N'Guessan D. St Etienne 8. Nzingoula R. Strasbourg 16. Paradowski T. (G) Pau
Coaches
Ouahbi M.	Diomede B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Zabiri Y. (Pen),
32', 1 - 0, Olmeta L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sylla F. ↓, Dabo M. ↑,
46', Le Borgne A. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
58', Essadak H. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Michal L. ⚽, Dabo M. (A),
64', Benchaouch Y. ↓, Gomis I. ↑,
80', Zahouani F. 🟨,
87', Bermont A. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
90', Toure I. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
98', Benama M. 🟨,
101', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
107', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
110', Bourgault J. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
120+1', Yassine G. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
120+1', Maamma O. ↓, Hamony M. ↑,
120+2', Majni T. ↓, El Bahraoui Y. ↑,
120+3', Benama M. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
120+5', Gomis I. ↓, Mesbahi H. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, El Bahraoui Y. (Pen),
1, Michal L. (Pen),
2, Boumassaoudi I. (Pen),
2, Beyuku G. (Pen),
3, Zabiri Y. (Pen),
3, Zidane E. (Pen),
4, Hamony M. (Pen),
4, Bernardeau G. (Pen),
5, El Haddad S. (Pen),
5, Dabo M. (Pen),
6, Byar N. (Pen),
6, N'Guessan D. (Pen),

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Morocco U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morocco U20
FIFA World Cup U20
12.10.25	USA U20 - Morocco U20	1:3 ✺
09.10.25	Morocco U20 - South Korea U20	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mexico U20 - Morocco U20	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Brazil U20 - Morocco U20	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Morocco U20 - Spain U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WWLWW
- France U20
FIFA World Cup U20
12.10.25	Norway U20 - France U20	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Japan U20 - France U20	0:1 ET ✺
05.10.25	New Caledonia U20 - France U20	0:6 ✺
02.10.25	USA U20 - France U20	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	France U20 - South Africa U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.10.24	France U20 - Morocco U20	4:3

Morocco U20 - France U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide