Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Mortágua		Pombal

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.1
	1.91	2.94	4.47
	1.83	3.14	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	4.28 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
49.2%

Draw
29.6%

Pombal
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Pombal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pombal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mortágua - Pombal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 0 - 1, Paranhos P. ⚽,
49', 0 - 2, Alexandre B. ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Alexandre B. ⚽,
78', 1 - 3, Pais J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mortágua is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pombal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pombal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mortágua is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Mortágua - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Fatima - Mortágua	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Elvas - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Mortágua - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLWW
- Sporting Clube de Pombal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Pombal - União de Coimbra	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Pombal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.25	Sousa - Pombal	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Marinhense - Pombal	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Pombal - Elvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.09.24	Pombal - Mortágua	2:0

Mortágua - Pombal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide