Match Info

GREECE: GAMMA ETHNIKI - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Moschato		Almyros Gaziou

	1	X	2
	3.17	3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (1.93)	3 ↓ (3.3)	2.22 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moschato
28.7%

Draw
30.3%

Almyros Gaziou
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moschato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moschato's form might have worsened.

Almyros Gaziou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almyros Gaziou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moschato than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moschato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almyros Gaziou than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almyros Gaziou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Moschato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almyros Gaziou is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almyros Gaziou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AE Moschato
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
26.02.23	Agios Nikolaos - Moschato	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Moschato - Fostiras	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Moschato - Tympakiou	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Agios Ierotheos - Moschato	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Thyella Rafina - Moschato	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWWL
- Almyros Gaziou
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
15.02.23	Almyros Gaziou - Agia Paraskevi	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Marko - Almyros Gaziou	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Almyros Gaziou - Agios Nikolaos	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Agios Ierotheos - Almyros Gaziou	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Almyros Gaziou - Thyella Rafina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

Moschato - Almyros Gaziou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide