Match Info

ALGERIA: Ligue 2 - Round 29

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday


	Mostaganem		ASM Oran

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	7.5
	1.32	4.15	6.5
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.34	4.35	8.3
	1.37	4.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (2.27)	4.26 ↑ (3.1)	7.56 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mostaganem
67%

Draw
21.1%

ASM Oran
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mostaganem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mostaganem's performance.

ASM Oran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASM Oran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mostaganem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASM Oran than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASM Oran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	3.8%	3.8%

Mostaganem - ASM Oran Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mostaganem will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). ASM Oran will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mostaganem: 82.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Daibeche O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Daibeche O. ⚽,
79', 🟥,
84', 3 - 0, Bouguettaya A. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 2
24.05.24	Arbaâ - Mostaganem	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Mostaganem - SC Mecheria	4:1 ✺
11.05.24	Kouba - Mostaganem	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Mostaganem - Widad Adabi de Boufarik	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Mostaganem - Olympique de Médéa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWW
- ASM Oran
Algerian Ligue 2
24.05.24	ASM Oran - SKAF Khemis Miliana	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	ASM Oran - Olympique de Médéa	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	Koléa - ASM Oran	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	ASM Oran - Témouchent	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Guir Abadla - ASM Oran	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
24.01.24	ASM Oran - Mostaganem	1:3
03.03.23	Mostaganem - ASM Oran	1:0
18.10.22	ASM Oran - Mostaganem	0:1
15.02.19	ASM Oran - Mostaganem	5:1

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