Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - NORRA - ROUND 8

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday


	Motala		Boden

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.6	2.95
	1.98	3.35	3.05
	2.03	3.74	3.15
	2.03	3.68	3.1
	2.04	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.38)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	3.05 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
45.1%

Draw
25.2%

Boden
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24.6%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motala's performance.

Boden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Motala - Boden Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Motala will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Boden will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Motala is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boden is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Motala will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.05.23	Karlstad - Motala	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Motala - Stockholm Internazionale	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Dalkurd - Motala	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Motala - Stocksund	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Motala - Sandviken	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.05.23	Boden - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Boden - Örebro Syrianska	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Stockholm Internazionale - Boden	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Boden - Umeå	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Stocksund - Boden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

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