Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday


	Motala		Gauthiod

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.5	4.5	5
	1.52	4.74	4.41
	1.46	4.69	4.36
	1.44	4.4	4.8
	1.45	4.65	5.24
	1.5	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.75)	4.53 ↑ (3.75)	4.8 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
61.2%

Draw
20%

Gauthiod
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

24.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

24%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motala's performance.

Gauthiod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gauthiod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-28.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthiod than the current prediction. (+24.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gauthiod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Motala - Gauthiod Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Motala will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Kosovic A. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Karlsson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Odberg A. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Motala will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
15.06.24	Herrestads - Motala	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Motala - Kumla	5:5 ✺
02.06.24	Vänersborgs FK - Motala	2:2 ✺
24.05.24	Motala - Lidkoping	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Motala - Stenungsunds	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTTT
- IK Gauthiod
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
15.06.24	Gauthiod - Stenungsunds	3:2 ✺
09.06.24	IFK Skövde - Gauthiod	5:1 ✺
30.05.24	Gauthiod - Grebbestad	3:2 ✺
23.05.24	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Gauthiod - Forward	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT

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