Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Motala		Värmbols

	1	X	2
	1.19	6	10.5
	1.18	5.8	8.8
	1.22	6.15	10.55
	1.18	7	10.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)	6.24 ↑ (4.55)	10.15 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
76.4%

Draw
14.6%

Värmbols
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

19.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

16.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motala's performance.

Värmbols has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Värmbols might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motala than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värmbols than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värmbols could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Motala - Värmbols Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Motala in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Värmbols is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Värmbols could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Värmbols have a series of home games.

In this match Motala is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Motala won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Motala won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
06.11.21	Trosa Vagnhärad - Motala	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Eskilstuna City - Motala	2:4 ✺
23.10.21	Motala - Arameiska-Syrianska Botkyrka	6:1 ✺
16.10.21	Huddinge - Motala	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Motala - Tyresö	5:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Värmbols FC
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
06.11.21	Värmbols - Syrianska	4:2 ✺
24.10.21	Värmbols - Nyköping	2:7 ✺
16.10.21	Värmbols - Rynninge	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Värmbols - Smedby	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	United Nordic - Värmbols	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
02.09.21	Värmbols - Motala	1:3
28.04.19	Värmbols - Motala	0:0
11.08.18	Motala - Värmbols	1:4
22.04.18	Värmbols - Motala	1:1
26.08.17	Värmbols - Motala	0:2
13.05.17	Motala - Värmbols	3:2
04.09.16	Värmbols - Motala	1:0

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