The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moto Club de São Luís 41.9%
Draw 30.1%
Ríver PI 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
27.9%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
27.8%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Ríver PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (+4%)
Moto Club de São Luís - Ríver PI Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Lima R. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Felipe Para ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Geovane Itinga 🟥,
55', Lucas Souza Nascimento J. 🟥,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Moto Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Moto Club will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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