The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motril 46.2%
Draw 28.3%
Malaga B 25.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
27.6%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
28.3%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-2%)
Motril - Malaga B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Fran ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Ramos ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Playoffs and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 1.
In recent outings, Motril has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Malaga B is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Motril is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Motril has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:20 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motril against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
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