Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Motril		Málaga Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.5	9.25
	1.29	4.7	9
	1.24	4.84	10.84
	1.3	4.55	10.37
	1.26	4.75	10.7
	1.29	4.7	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	4.67 ↓ (4.68)	9.86 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motril
71.3%

Draw
19.5%

Málaga Juniors
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

11.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Málaga Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-32.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motril that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga Juniors than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Motril - Málaga Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Motril is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Málaga City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Motril is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Motril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Motril won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.25	Marbellí - Motril	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Motril - El Palo	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Huétor Tájar - Motril	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Torredonjimeno - Motril	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLTL
- CD Málaga Juniors FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.25	Málaga Juniors - Torre Del Mar	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	El Ejido - Málaga Juniors	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Málaga Juniors - Huétor Vega	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Málaga Juniors - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	CP Almería - Málaga Juniors	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
29.09.24	Málaga Juniors - Motril	1:2
02.03.24	Málaga Juniors - Motril	0:1
22.10.23	Motril - Málaga Juniors	1:2
22.01.23	Motril - Málaga Juniors	0:1

Motril - Málaga Juniors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide