The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moyale Barracks 19.8%
Draw 29.6%
Karonga United 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
31%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
29.8%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moyale Barracks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyale Barracks's form might have worsened.
Karonga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karonga United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyale Barracks than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moyale Barracks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karonga United than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karonga United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Moyale Barracks is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Karonga United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Karonga United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Karonga United has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moyale Barracks won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Moyale Barracks won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Watch
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