Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Muş Spor		Kutahyaspor

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.5	3.45
	1.93	3.4	3.39
	1.77	4.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.35)	4.13 ↑ (3.55)	3.43 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muş Spor
50.7%

Draw
22.4%

Kutahyaspor
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

24.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muş Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muş Spor's performance.

Kutahyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kutahyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muş Spor than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muş Spor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kutahyaspor than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kutahyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Muş Spor - Kutahyaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Balsu T. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Balsu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 3 - 0, Balsu T. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Adali S. (Pen),
86', 4 - 1, Sun A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 4-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Kutahyaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Muş Spor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muş Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
30.04.25	Muş Spor - Silifke	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Kusadasispor - Muş Spor	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Muş Spor - Bulvarspor	3:1 ✺
26.03.25	Düzcespor - Muş Spor	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Bornova - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- Kutahyaspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
30.04.25	Kutahyaspor - Düzcespor	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Düzcespor - Kutahyaspor	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Kutahyaspor - Karşıyaka	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Bornova - Kutahyaspor	3:4 ✺
06.04.25	Kutahyaspor - Artvin Hopaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
02.02.25	Kutahyaspor - Muş Spor	2:1

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