Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)


	MuSa		Honka Akatemia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	1.98
	2.6	3.7	2.2
	2.8	3.65	2.02
	2.99	4.24	2.1
	2.91	3.7	2.06
	2.95	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.22)	3.81 ↓ (3.99)	2.06 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
31.9%

Draw
23.9%

Honka Akatemia
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

22.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MuSa's form might have worsened.

Honka Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka Akatemia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MuSa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka Akatemia than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honka Akatemia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MuSa - Honka Akatemia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage)).

Recent matches MuSa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Honka/Akatemia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Honka/Akatemia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches MuSa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
14.09.22	Klubi 04 - MuSa	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	1:2 ✺
02.09.22	MuSa - VJS Vantaa	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Espoon Palloseura - MuSa	4:1 ✺
24.08.22	MuSa - Ilves 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTLT
- Honka Akatemia
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
10.09.22	VJS Vantaa - Honka Akatemia	0:4 ✺
03.09.22	Honka Akatemia - Ilves 2	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Honka Akatemia - HJS	3:0 ✺
23.08.22	Klubi 04 - Honka Akatemia	0:2 ✺
18.08.22	Honka Akatemia - Espoon Palloseura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
28.06.22	Honka Akatemia - MuSa	2:1
25.08.18	MuSa - Honka Akatemia	2:1
17.06.18	Honka Akatemia - MuSa	2:3

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