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Current Win Probability
Municipal Grecia 42.3%
Draw 27.1%
Deportivo Upala 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
25.6%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
23.4%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Deportivo Upala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Upala than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Municipal Grecia - Deportivo Upala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grecia won 1.
In recent matches, Grecia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Upala is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Deportivo Upala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Grecia might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grecia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Grecia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.5:5.5).