Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Muravera		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.15	3	3.05
	2.36	2.92	2.79
	2.33	3.2	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muravera
40.5%

Draw
29.5%

Ostia Mare
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

21.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muravera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muravera than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muravera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ostia Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Muravera - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Muravera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muravera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Muravera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Muravera 1965 Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
24.10.21	Giugliano - Muravera	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Muravera - Cynthialbalonga	4:2 ✺
10.10.21	Insieme Formia - Muravera	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Muravera - Lanusei	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Latte Dolce - Muravera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
24.10.21	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Arzachena - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Cassino - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
26.09.21	Giugliano - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Ostia Mare - Cynthialbalonga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
12.01.20	Ostia Mare - Muravera	1:0
18.12.16	Muravera - Ostia Mare	1:1
20.12.15	Muravera - Ostia Mare	0:0

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