Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Murchante		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.25	2.85	2.04
	3.35	2.95	2.02
	3.29	2.92	1.98
	3.56	3	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murchante
26.3%

Draw
30.1%

Txantrea
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.7%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.6%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murchante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Txantrea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murchante than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murchante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Txantrea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Murchante - Txantrea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Murchante is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Txantrea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murchante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Txantrea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murchante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murchante FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
12.02.22	Subiza - Murchante	3:1 ✺
09.02.22	Gares - Murchante	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Murchante - Cantolagua	0:2 ✺
29.01.22	Beti Kozkor - Murchante	1:3 ✺
23.01.22	Murchante - Burladés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLWL
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
12.02.22	Txantrea - Cortes	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Huarte - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Txantrea - Subiza	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Cantolagua - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
09.01.22	Beti Kozkor - Txantrea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
16.10.21	Txantrea - Murchante	3:2

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