The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Murense 17.5%
Draw 25%
Platges de Calvià 57.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
25.6%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
21.2%
65.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Murense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platges de Calvià could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Murense - Platges de Calvià Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Murense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Platges de Calvià is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Murense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Platges de Calvià is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Murense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Murense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.