Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Mutondo Stars		Nkana

	1	X	2
	2.84	2.51	2.83
	2.83	2.58	2.83	Watch
	2.8	2.45	2.8
	2.71	2.99	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.67)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)	2.8 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutondo Stars
32.7%

Draw
34.7%

Nkana
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

33.3%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

33.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutondo Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nkana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutondo Stars than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nkana than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Mutondo Stars - Nkana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Mutondo Stars is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nkana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mutondo Stars has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mutondo Stars won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mutondo Stars won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mutondo Stars
Zambian Premier League
05.03.26	Mutondo Stars - ZESCO United	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mutondo Stars - Prison Leopards	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Kansanshi Dynamos - Mutondo Stars	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mutondo Stars - Maestro United Zambia	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Mutondo Stars - Nchanga Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWTWT
- Nkana FC
Zambian Premier League
07.03.26	Nkana - Konkola Blades	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Zanaco - Nkana	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nkana - Kabwe Warriors	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Green Buffaloes - Nkana	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Nkwazi - Nkana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
04.10.25	Nkana - Mutondo Stars	0:0
11.01.25	Nkana - Mutondo Stars	2:0
25.08.24	Mutondo Stars - Nkana	1:1
06.01.24	Nkana - Mutondo Stars	2:1
27.08.23	Mutondo Stars - Nkana	1:0

Mutondo Stars - Nkana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide