Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Mutondo Stars		Nkwazi

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.42	3.05
	2.78	2.41	3.02
	2.65	2.5	3.12
	2.32	3.04	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.32)	2.59 ↓ (3.04)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutondo Stars
34.9%

Draw
35.1%

Nkwazi
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutondo Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Nkwazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mutondo Stars - Nkwazi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Nkwazi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mutondo Stars won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mutondo Stars won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nkwazi - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mutondo Stars
Zambian Premier League
21.09.25	Prison Leopards - Mutondo Stars	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Mutondo Stars - Kansanshi Dynamos	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	ZESCO United - Mutondo Stars	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	NAPSA Stars - Mutondo Stars	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Mutondo Stars - ZESCO United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWLTW
- Nkwazi FC
Zambian Premier League
20.09.25	Nkwazi - Konkola Blades	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Zanaco - Nkwazi	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Nkwazi - Kabwe Warriors	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Nkana - Nkwazi	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Nkwazi - Green Buffaloes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
22.12.24	Mutondo Stars - Nkwazi	0:1
17.08.24	Nkwazi - Mutondo Stars	2:0
01.04.24	Mutondo Stars - Nkwazi	0:1

Mutondo Stars - Nkwazi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide