Match Info

ZAMBIA: Super League - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Mutondo Stars		Zanaco

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.65	3.45
	2.29	2.59	3.38
	2.33	2.71	3.45
	2.31	2.69	3.4
	2.32	2.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.67)	2.66 ↓ (3.2)	3.43 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutondo Stars
39.3%

Draw
34.2%

Zanaco
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28.4%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutondo Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mutondo Stars's form might have worsened.

Zanaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zanaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutondo Stars than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mutondo Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zanaco than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zanaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kaniki Pumba M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
84', 1 - 1, Kabika B. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Libamba M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mutondo Stars will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mutondo Stars won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mutondo Stars won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mutondo Stars
Zambian Premier League
22.02.25	Forest Rangers - Mutondo Stars	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Mutondo Stars - Indeni	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Red Arrows - Mutondo Stars	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Mutondo Stars - Mufulira Wanderers	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Mutondo Stars - Green Eagles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWTLW
- Zanaco FC
Zambian Premier League
23.02.25	Zanaco - Lumwana Radiants	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Kabwe Warriors - Zanaco	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Zanaco - Maestro United Zambia	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Zanaco - Green Buffaloes	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Atletico Lusaka - Zanaco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
26.10.24	Zanaco - Mutondo Stars	1:1
17.12.23	Mutondo Stars - Zanaco	1:0

Mutondo Stars - Zanaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide