Match Info

Primus League - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Muzinga		Bumamuru Standard

	1	X	2
	2.64	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.84)	3.5 (3.5)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muzinga
34.5%

Draw
26%

Bumamuru Standard
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muzinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bumamuru Standard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muzinga than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bumamuru Standard than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Muzinga - Bumamuru Standard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muzinga (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bumamuru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muzinga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Muzinga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bumamuru	29	14	7	8	47:30	17	49
8	Muzinga	29	10	10	9	32:36	-4	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muzinga FC
Burundi Premier League
20.02.26	Muzinga - Inter Star	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	VitalO - Muzinga	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Muzinga - Royal Vision 2026	1:4 ✺
01.02.26	Le Messager de Ngozi - Muzinga	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Muzinga - Olympique Star	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTW
- Bumamuru Standard FC
Burundi Premier League
01.03.26	Bumamuru Standard - Flambeau du Centre	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Aigle Noir - Bumamuru Standard	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Bumamuru Standard - Inter Star	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Bumamuru Standard - Royal Vision 2026	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Le Messager de Ngozi - Bumamuru Standard	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Burundi Premier League
05.10.25	Bumamuru Standard - Muzinga	2:0
13.09.20	Muzinga - Bumamuru Standard	1:0

Muzinga - Bumamuru Standard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide