Match Info

Date: 7 August 2020, Friday


	Mykolaiv		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.45	2.9
	2.11	3.41	2.9
	2.18	3.62	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.97)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	2.88 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mykolaiv
42.6%

Draw
26%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

17.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mykolaiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mykolaiv than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mykolaiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalurh Zaporizhya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Recent matches Mykolaiv is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metalurh Z is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mykolaiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metalurh Z have a series of home games.

Mykolaiv will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mykolaiv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Mykolaiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.08.20	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Mykolaiv	2:2 ✺
29.07.20	Mykolaiv - Kharkiv	3:2 ✺
24.07.20	Balkany Zorya - Mykolaiv	1:3 ✺
19.07.20	Mykolaiv - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
15.07.20	Kremin Kremenchuk - Mykolaiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWWLL
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.08.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:0 ✺
01.08.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	3:2 ✺
29.07.20	Volyn Lutsk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	5:0 ✺
26.07.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Cherkashchyna	1:1 ✺
23.07.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kramatorsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.10.19	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Mykolaiv	1:1

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