Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Victoria Sulejówek

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.7	2.85
	1.96	3.61	3.02
	2	3.79	3.09
	2.08	3.62	2.93	Watch
	2.09	3.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
44.5%

Draw
24.7%

Victoria Sulejówek
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

24.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mławianka Mława's performance.

Victoria Sulejówek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria Sulejówek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mławianka Mława that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Sulejówek than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria Sulejówek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mławianka Mława - Victoria Sulejówek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Odilon J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Jurczynski P. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Masalov O. ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, Rogalski S. ⚽,
45+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 4 - 2, ⚽,
79', 5 - 2, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mławianka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Victoria Sulejówek is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mławianka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mławianka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.24	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	6:0 ✺
08.09.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Mławianka Mława	5:2 ✺
31.08.24	Mławianka Mława - Stomil Olsztyn	3:4 ✺
25.08.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mławianka Mława	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLLW
- Victoria Sulejówek
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Wikielec	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Broń Radom - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	ŁKS Łomża - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.06.24	Mławianka Mława - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0
10.11.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Mławianka Mława	1:1

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