Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	MŠK Senec		Nové Zámky

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.25	2.20
	2.30	3.10	2.65
	2.73	3.32	2.25
	2.78	3.35	2.30	Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.20
	2.70	3.60	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.3)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	2.32 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MŠK Senec
34%

Draw
27.2%

Nové Zámky
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MŠK Senec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Nové Zámky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nové Zámky's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MŠK Senec than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MŠK Senec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nové Zámky than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nové Zámky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 6th).

Recent results have been tough for MŠK Senec (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Nové Zámky have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nové Zámky may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, MŠK Senec has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for MŠK Senec against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FKM Nove Zamky	12	5	3	4	15:18	-3	18
8	MSK Senec	13	5	1	7	13:22	-9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MŠK Senec
Slovak 3 Liga West
10.10.26	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - MŠK Senec	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	MŠK Senec - Spartak Myjava	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Púchov - MŠK Senec	5:0 ✺
18.09.26	MŠK Senec - Dunajská Lužná	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Komárno B - MŠK Senec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- FKM Nové Zámky
Slovak Cup
13.10.26	Svätý Jur - Nové Zámky	0:3 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga West
10.10.26	Nové Zámky - Gabčíkovo	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Beluša - Nové Zámky	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Nové Zámky - Trenčín B	2:5 ✺
12.09.26	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - Nové Zámky	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
13.03.26	MŠK Senec - Nové Zámky	3:0

MŠK Senec - Nové Zámky