Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 14

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Wildfeuer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Nürnberg		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.95	1.62
	4.35	4.05	1.64
	4.37	4.04	1.69	Watch
	4	3.6	1.67
	4.37	3.84	1.64
	4.33	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.49)	3.88 ↑ (3.55)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
21.4%

Draw
23.5%

Union Berlin
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

25.4%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.2%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nürnberg - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nürnberg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rusek L. (G) 2. Svensson K. 27. Fordos B. 15. Wos O. 22. Pollak J. 18. Mai F. 4. Guttenberger L. 9. Miller L. 11. Meroni L. 26. Polaskova A. 24. Lein N.	1. Bosl C. (G) 21. Weiss A. 16. Georgieva M. 19. Steuerwald S. 17. Steinert J. 29. Halverkamps A. 27. Hipp J. 7. Heiseler L. 11. Orschmann D. 9. Weidauer S. 10. Campbell E.
Substitutes
20. Baumgartel J. 5. Frohlich C. 16. Gambone A. 8. Gunster M. 19. Homann S. 17. Licina S. 6. Mailbeck A. 25. Romero L. (G) 28. Seguin M.	15. Aagaard A. 23. Bauereisen N. 28. Bohi N. (G) 25. Heikkinen I. 77. Moraitou A. 5. Orschmann K. 42. Reissner N. 24. Sakar F.
Coaches
Oostendorp T.	Poese A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Steinert J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Campbell E. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Heiseler L. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 1 - 2, Polaskova A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Halverkamps A. ↓, Bauereisen N. ↑,
60', Polaskova A. ↓, Baumgartel J. ↑,
60', Svensson K. ↓, Homann S. ↑,
63', Steinert J. ↓, Orschmann K. ↑,
74', Orschmann D. ↓, Heikkinen I. ↑,
76', Wos O. 🟨,
78', Meroni L. ↓, Licina S. ↑,
83', Wos O. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑,
83', Guttenberger L. ↓, Gambone A. ↑,
90+2', Heiseler L. ↓, Reissner N. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)

In recent matches, Nürnberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Union Berlin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Union Berlin is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg Women
German Bundesliga Women
13.12.25	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	1:6 ✺
10.12.25	Nürnberg - Eintracht Frankfurt	5:3 ✺
07.12.25	SGS Essen - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Nürnberg - Bayern Munich	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.5 LWLWL
- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
15.12.25	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
15.11.25	Union Berlin - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
07.11.25	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
07.09.25	Union Berlin - Nürnberg	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga Women
01.09.24	Nürnberg - Union Berlin	0:0

Nürnberg - Union Berlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide