Match Info

Date: 1 March 2021, Monday


	NEROCA		Punjab

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	3.95	3.4	1.77
	4.86	3.55	1.79
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	3.96	3.74	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.86)	3.56 ↑ (3.29)	1.77 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEROCA
22.1%

Draw
25.9%

Punjab
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

28.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.6%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEROCA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Punjab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEROCA than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Punjab than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Punjab could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	17.2%	79.3%

NEROCA - Punjab Predictions

Users Predictions: Punjab will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone ItoLeague (Losers stage) and 6 in the zone Promotion to ItoLeague (Winners stage)).

NEROCA is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Punjab is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

NEROCA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently NEROCA have a series of guest games.

In this match Punjab is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches NEROCA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams NEROCA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEROCA FC
Indian I-League
24.02.21	Churchill Brothers - NEROCA	1:0 ✺
19.02.21	Sudeva Delhi - NEROCA	0:2 ✺
13.02.21	Real Kashmir - NEROCA	4:3 ✺
09.02.21	NEROCA - Chennai City	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Mohammedan Kolkata - NEROCA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLT
- Punjab football team
Indian I-League
18.02.21	Real Kashmir - Punjab	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Punjab - Chennai City	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Indian Arrows - Punjab	1:2 ✺
04.02.21	TRAU - Punjab	0:2 ✺
29.01.21	Punjab - Sudeva Delhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Indian I-League
10.03.20	NEROCA - Punjab	4:3
29.01.20	Punjab - NEROCA	3:2

NEROCA - Punjab: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide