The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NJ NY Gotham 69.4%
Draw 19.3%
Racing Louisville 11.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.9%
21.3%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
20.4%
12.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NJ NY Gotham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NJ NY Gotham than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
NJ NY Gotham - Racing Louisville Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Berger A. (G) 23. Purce M. 27. Carter J. 15. Davidson T. (C) 18. Reiten G. 7. Howell J. M. 13. McCaskill S. 2. Dudley J. 16. Lavelle R. 10. Shaw J. 9. Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
24. Bloomer J. (G) 2. Milliet L. 5. Jean E. 3. Wright A. (C) 8. Petersen C. 20. O'Kane K. 26. Flint T. 13. Sears E. 9. Fischer K. 6. Hase E. 42. Weber S.
Substitutes
21. Cook S. 34. Harper K. 1. Hogan S. (G) 24. Kitahata A. 28. Lampson K. 4. Reale L. 11. Schupansky S. 14. Sommer T. 17. Whitham M.
19. Ciorbu A. 21. Hill R. 10. Hodge M. 16. Lardner M. 88. McKeen A. 12. McMahon Q. 4. Morris M. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 11. White T.
Coaches
Amoros J.
Yanez B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', O'Kane K. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Shaw J. ⚽, Dudley J. (A),
45+5', Flint T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Petersen C. ↓, McMahon Q. ↑,
59', Fischer K. ↓, Hodge M. ↑,
63', Davidson T. ↓, Reale L. ↑,
73', Reiten G. ↓, Lampson K. ↑,
73', Purce M. ↓, Harper K. ↑,
73', Lavelle R. ↓, Cook S. ↑,
76', Sears E. ↓, Morris M. ↑,
76', Weber S. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
84', Hase E. ↓, McKeen A. ↑,
89', Shaw J. ↓, Schupansky S. ↑,
90+1', McMahon Q. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gotham won 2.
Gotham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Racing Louisville has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Gotham is the obvious favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gotham won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gotham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).