Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Klaukkalan urheilualue (Nurmijärvi)


	NJS		JaPS 2

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	4.8
	1.53	4.35	5
	1.54	4.16	4.63
	1.54	4.16	4.63
	1.57	4.29	4.77
	1.49	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.74)	4.21 ↑ (3.81)	4.84 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NJS
59.6%

Draw
21.6%

JaPS 2
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NJS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NJS's performance.

JaPS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NJS than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NJS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JaPS 2 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

NJS - JaPS 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knuuttila O. (C) 21. Auranen A. 33. Backstrom D. 16. Bade M. 32. Haapiainen W. 23. Heikkinen B. 19. Kangasniemi V. 27. Lahikainen K. 35. Pastinen L. 4. Pursiainen O. 18. Salminen V.	1. Haikonen O. (G) 23. Alatalo A. 62. Hvidberg D. 80. Khairy R. 18. Koskelainen M. 24. Kumpulainen U. 4. Manner N. 9. Pohjantahti A. 17. Sivunen J. 25. Valto O. (C) 39. Vanttinen V.
Substitutes
29. Dumani P. 75. Gronthal T. 12. Karvinen R. (G) 17. Lehtojuuri A. 8. Lundgren K. 20. Timsina B.	7. Arila J. 37. Backman J. 16. Kuosa T. 41. Kyander J. 6. Manner V. 2. Mowlid A. 96. Thomas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Haapiainen W. 🟨,
30', Valto O. 🟨,
31', Pohjantahti A. ↓, Kuosa T. ↑,
41', Alatalo A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Heikkinen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Khairy R. ↓, Arila J. ↑,
48', Kuosa T. 🟨,
49', Sivunen J. 🟨,
52', Arila J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Valto O. ⚽,
62', Kangasniemi V. 🟨,
67', Haapiainen W. ↓, Lehtojuuri A. ↑,
75', Pastinen L. ↓, Gronthal T. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Lehtojuuri A. ⚽,
76', Lehtojuuri A. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Hvidberg D. ⚽,
81', Heikkinen B. ↓, Lundgren K. ↑,
90+1', Koskelainen M. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

The competitors look crappy now.

NJS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match NJS is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nurmijärven Jalkapalloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
12.05.24	Grankulla IFK - NJS	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	NJS - Espoon Palloseura	0:3 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.05.24	NJS - MYPA	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - NJS	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	NJS - Lahden Reipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLL
- JaPS 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
13.05.24	JaPS 2 - PPJ	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.24	PPJ - JaPS 2	2:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.04.24	JaPS 2 - Kiffen 08	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Grankulla IFK - JaPS 2	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Atlantis 2 - JaPS 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

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