Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 7

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional SP		Jabaquara

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.15	4.2
	1.81	3.03	4.41
	1.85	3.15	4.33	Watch
	1.81	3.13	4.42
	1.85	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	4.31 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
49.7%

Draw
29.2%

Jabaquara
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Nacional SP - Jabaquara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Gustavo Indio ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Recent matches Nacional SP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jabaquara is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Nacional SP have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional SP is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Nacional SP	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Nacional SP - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Taquaritinga - Nacional SP	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	União Barbarense - Nacional SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWLW
- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.02.25	Jabaquara - Paulista	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Jabaquara - Grêmio Osasco Audax	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Jabaquara	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Jabaquara - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Barretos - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
23.03.24	Jabaquara - Nacional SP	3:2

Nacional SP - Jabaquara