Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional de Muriaé		Democrata GV

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.07	2.75	3.3
	1.92	2.85	3.8
	1.83	3.11	4.2
	1.9	3.18	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional de Muriaé
45.7%

Draw
30.3%

Democrata GV
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional de Muriaé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional de Muriaé that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Democrata GV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Democrata GV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nacional de Muriaé will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional de Muriaé won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional de Muriaé won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional de Muriaé
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
04.09.21	Tupynambás - Nacional de Muriaé	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Betim - Nacional de Muriaé	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	União Luziense - Nacional de Muriaé	1:1 ✺
11.08.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:1 ✺
31.07.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Villa Nova AC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTWT
- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
06.09.21	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Democrata SL - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
23.08.21	Democrata GV - Guarani MG	2:0 ✺
16.08.21	Democrata GV - Tupi MG	3:1 ✺
11.08.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
11.08.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:1
17.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	1:1

Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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