The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional de Muriaé 25%
Draw 29.5%
Varginha 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
25.9%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
27.9%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional de Muriaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional de Muriaé's form might have worsened.
Varginha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varginha's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (+20.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional de Muriaé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varginha than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varginha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Nacional de Muriaé - Varginha Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional de Muriaé will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Varginha will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7).
Nacional de Muriaé is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Varginha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Nacional de Muriaé have a series of guest games.
In this match Varginha is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional de Muriaé won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.