Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Nacka FC		Falu

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.65	3.2
	2.02	3.6	3.32
	2.06	3.43	3.30	Watch
	1.94	3.62	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.79)	3.58 ↓ (4.13)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacka FC
46.1%

Draw
25.8%

Falu
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

22.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacka FC's form might have worsened.

Falu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacka FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falu than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Nacka FC - Falu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group).

Nacka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Falu is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nacka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nacka is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
13.09.25	Österåker United - Nacka FC	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Nacka FC - Kungsängen	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	IK Franke - Nacka FC	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Nacka FC - Korsnäs	4:3 ✺
16.08.25	Bollstanäs - Nacka FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTWL
- Falu BS FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
13.09.25	Gute - Falu	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Falu - Ytterhogdal	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Falu - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Skiljebo - Falu	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Falu - Täby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
30.03.25	Falu - Nacka FC	1:1

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