Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Nadroga		Ba

	1	X	2
	6.45	5.07	1.32
	6.65	4.8	1.36	Watch
	8.15	4.9	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.08 ↓ (7.34)	4.92 ↑ (4.28)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nadroga
12.8%

Draw
18.5%

Ba
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.3%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nadroga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nadroga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ba than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nadroga - Ba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OFC Champions League (Preliminary: )).

Nadroga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ba is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nadroga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nadroga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ba	18	13	3	2	54:14	40	42
9	Nadroga	18	3	4	11	22:50	-28	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nadroga FC
Fiji Premier League
22.05.26	Navua - Nadroga	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Nadroga - Suva	4:1 ✺
09.05.26	Nadroga - Nadi	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Nadroga - Lautoka	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Nasinu - Nadroga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 TWWWL
- Ba FC
Fiji Premier League
23.05.26	Ba - Nasinu	7:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ba - Rewa	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Tailevu Naitasiri - Ba	0:9 ✺
02.05.26	Ba - Labasa	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lautoka - Ba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Fiji Premier League
21.02.26	Ba - Nadroga	5:2
12.07.25	Nadroga - Ba	1:1
20.09.23	Nadroga - Ba	0:1

Nadroga - Ba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide