Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 19

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran		Fard Alborz

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.5	2.45
	3.25	2.61	2.52	Watch
	3.25	2.52	2.52	Watch
	3.14	2.54	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.61)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
28.3%

Draw
35.5%

Fard Alborz
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

35.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

34.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fard Alborz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fard Alborz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fard Alborz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

Naft Gachsaran is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Naft Gachsaran has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naft Gachsaran won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Fard	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
13	Naft Gachsaran	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
Iran Division 1
21.01.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLLL
- Fard Alborz
Iran Division 1
20.01.26	Fard Alborz - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Fard Alborz - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Fard Alborz - Besat Kermanshah	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	SaiPa - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
04.09.25	Fard Alborz - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fard Alborz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide