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Current Win Probability
Nairn County 35.2%
Draw 23.9%
Strathspey Thistle 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
21.8%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
22%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nairn County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Strathspey Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairn County than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strathspey Thistle than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nairn County - Strathspey Thistle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, MacInnes K. ⚽, Ewan M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 2 - 0, Brindle P. ⚽, Ewan M. (A),
83', 3 - 0, Dingwall F. ⚽, MacKay C. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Race J. ⚽,
90+2', MacLeod K. 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 2, Race J. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nairn won 5.
Nairn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Strathspey Thistle is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Strathspey Thistle may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Nairn has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 23:7 (averaging 2.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nairn against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:2 goals (averaging 2.8:0.5 per game).
Watch
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