Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Nairobi United		MCF

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.72
				Watch
	1.47	3.84	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	3.8 ↑ (3.78)	6.03 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
61.3%

Draw
23.7%

MCF
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

24%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MCF than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).

Nairobi United in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

MCF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Nairobi United have a series of home games.

In this match Nairobi United is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nairobi United to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nairobi United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Nairobi United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.25	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:0 penalties ✺
Kenyan Super League
06.04.25	Nairobi United - Mombasa Stars	6:2 ✺
30.03.25	Nzoia United - Nairobi United	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Nairobi United - Darajani Gogo	4:1 ✺
12.03.25	Nairobi United - Fortune Sacco	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW
- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
12.04.25	MCF - Nzoia United	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vihiga United - MCF	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	MCF - Kisumu All-Stars	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Luanda Villa - MCF	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	MCF - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
25.01.25	MCF - Nairobi United	0:1
12.06.24	MCF - Nairobi United	0:1
06.01.24	Nairobi United - MCF	2:0

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