Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Naivas		Mombasa Stars

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.11	8.42
				Watch
	1.25	5.25	9.25
	1.25	4.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	4.85 ↑ (4)	10.22 ↑ (9.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naivas
72.4%

Draw
18.7%

Mombasa Stars
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

22.7%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

21.6%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naivas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Mombasa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa Stars than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Naivas - Mombasa Stars Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 17).

Recent matches Naivas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

Mombasa Stars is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

In this match, Naivas is indisputable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naivas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2 (average 3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams, Naivas won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
19.04.25	Naivas - Vihiga United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	MOFA - Naivas	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Naivas - Assad	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Naivas - Fortune Sacco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Mombasa Stars
Kenyan Super League
20.04.25	Fortune Sacco - Mombasa Stars	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Mombasa Stars - Darajani Gogo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nairobi United - Mombasa Stars	6:2 ✺
29.03.25	Mombasa Stars - MOFA	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Mombasa Stars - 3K	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
12.01.25	Mombasa Stars - Naivas	1:3
16.03.24	Naivas - Mombasa Stars	4:1
12.11.23	Mombasa Stars - Naivas	0:2

Naivas - Mombasa Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide