Match Info

Stars League - Round 12

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Najaf		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.88	3.05
	2.55	2.98	2.74	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3
	2.27	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.55)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	3.02 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
39.1%

Draw
31%

Naft Maysan
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Najaf - Naft Maysan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).

Najaf is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naft Maysan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Najaf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Najaf - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
10.01.26	Al-Karkh - Najaf	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Karma - Najaf	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.12.25	Duhok - Najaf	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Najaf - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Naft Maysan - Diyala	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Arbil - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Al Mosul - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Naft Maysan - Duhok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.06.25	Naft Maysan - Najaf	3:1
26.11.24	Najaf - Naft Maysan	4:1
05.07.24	Naft Maysan - Najaf	2:1

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