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Current Win Probability
Nakhon Pathom United 31.3%
Draw 25.7%
Muangthong United 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.8%
18.9%
67.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13%
17.8%
71.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Pathom United's performance.
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muangthong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Pathom United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+28.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Muangthong United will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Srathongjan W. (G) 23. Wisetchat N. 65. Auksornsri T. 5. Filipovic V. 31. Phumipha E. A. 28. Abu Khalil M. 11. Valdo 7. Phutchan K. 15. Tierney F. 9. Shamsaldin A. 10. Ito T. (C)
31. Kadee K. (G) 20. Strauss J. 5. Otakhonov A. 4. Hong Jung-Woon 39. Sattham J. 37. Autra P. (C) 14. Panthong S. 11. Roback E. 34. Khamyok K. 9. Lorenzen M. 10. Arjvirai P.
Substitutes
13. Ablorh L. 59. Buathong W. (G) 3. Chuchai C. 26. Hamzah M. 19. Montree T. 44. Nemati A. 55. Otton C. 17. Ruengsamoot T. 33. Sangrum A. 16. Sreeponwaree A. 99. Tumsuwan S. 2. Worapanichkan M.
24. Chaikultewin W. 33. Nuntagowat T. 1. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 3. Saengdao C. 18. Tasa K. 36. Thodsanid P. 40. Wettayawong K. 6. Yoryoei T.
Coaches
Yodyardthai S.
Lettieri G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
11', 1 - 0, Tierney F. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Otakhonov A. ⚽, Arjvirai P. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Khamyok K. ⚽, Arjvirai P. (A),
31', 2 - 2, Filipovic V. ⚽, Phumipha E. A. (A),
32', Abu Khalil M. ↓, Otton C. ↑,
42', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shamsaldin A. ↓, Ablorh L. ↑,
46', Wisetchat N. ↓, Worapanichkan M. ↑,
49', Worapanichkan M. 🟨,
50', Panthong S. 🟨,
64', Phutchan K. 🟨,
65', Roback E. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
65', Panthong S. ↓, Chaikultewin W. ↑,
69', Tierney F. ↓, Tumsuwan S. ↑,
76', Khamyok K. 🟨,
78', Phutchan K. ↓, Hamzah M. ↑,
80', Sattham J. 🟨,
80', Khamyok K. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
84', Auksornsri T. 🟨,
90', Sattham J. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 4, Tasa K. ⚽, Chaikultewin W. (A),
90+9', Strauss J. 🟨,
90+9', Autra P. 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 7).
Nakhon Pathom United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Muangthong United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Muangthong United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 1:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
South-korea
Thailand
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Srathongjan W. (G) 
Filipovic V. 
Abu Khalil M. 
Valdo 
Shamsaldin A. 
Ito T. (C) 
Strauss J. 
Otakhonov A. 
Hong Jung-Woon 
Roback E. 
Lorenzen M. 
Ablorh L. 
Hamzah M. 
Nemati A. 
Lettieri G. 
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