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Current Win Probability
Nam Định 66.6%
Draw 19.1%
Song Lam Nghe An 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
18.1%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
17.2%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nam Định has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Song Lam Nghe An has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nam Định than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Song Lam Nghe An than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Nam Định - Song Lam Nghe An Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Le V. P. (G) 6. A Mit 10. Caio Cesar 98. Giap Tuan Duong 4. Lucas 11. Nguyen Tuan Anh 93. Pham Ba K. 14. Rafaelson 72. Romulo 28. To Van Vu (C) 19. Tran Van Dat
1. Cao Van Binh (G) 27. Fortes C. 62. Garcia J. 18. Le Dinh L. V. 3. Le N. H. 35. Nguyen M. H. 16. Nguyen Quang V. 8. Nguyen X. B. 7. Olaha M. (C) 33. Phan V. T. 88. Tran P.
Substitutes
35. Brenner 5. Dang Van Toi 3. Duong Thanh Hao 39. Lam Ti Phong 9. Nguyen Van Toan 17. Nguyen Van Vi 26. Tran Nguyen Manh (G) 27. Tran N. S. 16. Tran Van Cong
12. Bui T. D. 29. Dang Q. T. 55. Hoang V. K. 15. Ho K. L. 10. Moore R. 26. Nguyen H. (G) 14. Nguyen Trong Tuan 11. Tran Manh Quynh 2. Vuong Van Huy
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Rafaelson ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Rafaelson ⚽,
27', A Mit 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fortes C. ↓, Tran Manh Quynh ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Rafaelson ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 3.
Nam Định is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Song Lam Nghe An is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Song Lam Nghe An may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nam Định is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nam Định won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).