Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 5

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Majaliwa Stadium (Lindi)


	Namungo		Azam

	1	X	2
	4.05	2.92	1.92
	7.54	1.53	3.39	Watch
	4.11	3	1.89
	4	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.17)	2.61 ↓ (2.96)	2.28 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Namungo
19.8%

Draw
37.3%

Azam
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

30.6%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

30%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Namungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Azam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azam than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Namungo - Azam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Malik M. (G) 6. Jigwa 60. Kazi H. 8. Kikoti L. 30. Lukindo H. 2. Machupa A. S. 7. Manyanya H. 5. Mfuko A. 20. Mgunya H. (C) 29. Ngoye F. 12. Shaban N.	1. Issa F. (G) 20. Chilambo N. 3. Diaby Y. 24. Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. 23. Hmidi B. 8. Kanoute S. 30. Kitambala J. 12. Msindo P. 11. Nado I. S. (C) 9. Sopu A. 6. Toto F.
Substitutes
. Buswita P. C. . Chamungu A. R. 10. Kipenye C. 70. Kundo F. 19. Makambo H. . Mchelenga R. . Mohamed A. . Ngalema A. . Odongo F. . Suleiman A. (G)	32. Akaminko J. . Alobogast . Diallo P. D. . Hamoud N. S. . Kibeku A. 4. Landry Z. . Lawi L. . Masudi Z. (G) 5. Mwaikenda L. . Tepsi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Nado I. S. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
45+3', Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. 🟥,
45+3', Mgunya H. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kitambala J. ↓, Landry Z. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Ngoye F. ⚽, Lukindo H. (A),
63', Manyanya H. 🟨,
66', Manyanya H. ↓, Kipenye C. ↑,
66', Ngoye F. ↓, Makambo H. ↑,
68', Hmidi B. ↓, Hamoud N. S. ↑,
75', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 1.

Recent performances by Namungo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Azam is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Azam is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Namungo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
25.10.25	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	JKT Tanzania - Namungo	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Simba - Namungo	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Namungo - Prisons	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Namungo - Pamba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWT
- Azam FC
CAF Confederation Cup
24.10.25	Azam - KMKM	7:0 ✺
18.10.25	KMKM - Azam	0:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
01.10.25	JKT Tanzania - Azam	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
28.09.25	Azam - El Merriekh Bentiu	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
24.09.25	Azam - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
27.02.25	Azam - Namungo	1:1
03.10.24	Namungo - Azam	0:1
Tanzanian Federation Cup
03.05.24	Azam - Namungo	4:1
Tanzanian Premier League
14.04.24	Namungo - Azam	0:2
27.10.23	Azam - Namungo	1:3
14.05.23	Azam - Namungo	1:2
20.11.22	Namungo - Azam	0:1

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