Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Namur		Standard Liège U23

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.3	2.63
	2.5	3.31	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.49	3.52	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Namur
36.4%

Draw
27.9%

Standard Liège U23
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

25.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Namur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Standard Liège U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Namur than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Namur - Standard Liège U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Namur won 1.

Namur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Standard U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Standard U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Namur won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Namur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	St. Liege U23	7	2	1	4	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Namur - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.6%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UR Namur
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
01.03.26	Namur - Crossing Schaerbeek	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Namur - Royale Union SG 2	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Namur	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Namur - Union Rochefortoise	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Namur - Excelsior Virton	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Standard Liège U23
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
08.03.26	Stockay-Warfusée - Standard Liège U23	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Standard Liège U23 - Royale Union SG 2	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Standard Liège U23 - Union Rochefortoise	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Charleroi B - Standard Liège U23	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Stockay-Warfusée - Standard Liège U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
13.12.25	Standard Liège U23 - Namur	1:1
31.08.25	Namur - Standard Liège U23	1:2
06.04.25	Namur - Standard Liège U23	0:0
09.03.25	Standard Liège U23 - Namur	0:0
26.01.25	Namur - Standard Liège U23	2:1
22.09.24	Standard Liège U23 - Namur	0:2

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