The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli U19 56%
Draw 23.1%
Spezia U19 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
24.1%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
23.2%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Spezia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli U19 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia U19 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Napoli U19 - Spezia U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 12th).
Napoli U19 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Spezia U19 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Spezia U19 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Napoli U19 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Napoli U19 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Napoli U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).